Election Prediction 2024 Usa. In fact, on may 31, 2024 — the first full day markets were open after trump was convicted — the dow climbed about 575 points, posting what was at the time its best day of. Developed with the assistance of a team of political scientists led by andrew gelman of columbia university, our model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning.
Near the end of the year, yougov surveyed americans about how they thought 2024 went for themselves and for the country, and to share predictions for 2025 and beyond. View the latest 2024 biden trump presidential forecast predictions and create your own 2024 election prediction map.